terça-feira, 30 de maio de 2017

UFC 212 - Claudia Gadelha vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz - Predictions


[#1] Claudia "Claudinha" Gadelha (14-2) vs [#2] Karolina Kowalkiewicz (10-1)

The two fighters had their stories only stained by defeat for Joanna Jedrzejczyk. Beyond this resemblance, aggressiveness is another commonplace. Both are very aggressive standing. They are always going forward. Striking. Karolina Kowalkiewicz uses a lot or elbow. Both absorb the blows well. They were never finalized. It has everything to be a very close fight.

The difference in this fight, will be: and when things go wrong? And when will a stronger blow come in? And when one of them feels the blow?

Claudinha Gadelha is excellent at takedown attempts. It has an accuracy of 57%, and defend with 83% success. He takedown Joanna Jedrzejczyk seven times in the first duel. He takedown Lahdemaki five times. In their last fight against Casey, they were six takedowns. While Karolina Kowalkiewicz has only two takedown attempts in the last seventy minutes of fighting. Since neither attempt was successful.

If things go wrong for the Brazilian, she can take the fight to the floor. The same can not be said of Karolina. It is in this advantage that I believe that the victory of Claudinha Gadelha will come. She has more options for victory than Karolina Kowalkiewicz. If the Brazilian does not feel comfortable standing, she can take the fight to the ground and dominate Karolina Kowalkiewicz for the rest of the fight. The Brazilian is not aggressive only in the standing game. When he is on the ground, he always searches for the finishing and works well on the ground and pound.

My prediction for the fight is that Gadelha wins in the decision (1.63). The Brazilian should score better in the first two rounds. Putting the fight down when needed. Dominating the opponent. In the third round, the Brazilian usually slows down since her cardio is not the best. At this point, Karolina will take advantage to try the finish but I do not think she can. As I said earlier, if Gadelha finds herself in a dangerous situation she can easily take the fight to the ground.

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